Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.183304 0.213054 0.246149 0.285709 0.331732 0.383615 0.446588
2025-03-16 0.135427 0.174541 0.222762 0.286651 0.369199 0.472445 0.611694
2025-03-23 0.111699 0.154556 0.211264 0.291927 0.403996 0.554628 0.773251
2025-03-30 0.092377 0.135395 0.195675 0.286517 0.420412 0.611266 0.905392
2025-04-06 0.078911 0.121553 0.184340 0.283812 0.438134 0.669609 1.045446
2025-04-13 0.069272 0.111549 0.176616 0.284418 0.459524 0.734465 1.202318
2025-04-20 0.064080 0.107477 0.177037 0.297126 0.500609 0.833857 1.426021
2025-04-27 0.059224 0.103139 0.176220 0.307286 0.538232 0.931523 1.659046
2025-05-04 0.054790 0.098826 0.174721 0.315766 0.573565 1.028943 1.903690
2025-05-11 0.050008 0.093216 0.170167 0.318035 0.597764 1.109167 2.127035
2025-05-18 0.045157 0.086823 0.163360 0.315146 0.611771 1.171983 2.325117
2025-05-25 0.040110 0.079408 0.153740 0.305618 0.611694 1.207842 2.474701
2025-06-01 0.037708 0.076916 0.153323 0.314272 0.648995 1.321811 2.799072
2025-06-08 0.034692 0.072832 0.149331 0.315295 0.671112 1.408488 3.079584
2025-06-15 0.032501 0.070152 0.147798 0.321107 0.703749 1.520439 3.428844
2025-06-22 0.029466 0.065300 0.141169 0.315148 0.710148 1.577188 3.663212
2025-06-29 0.027029 0.061446 0.136200 0.312169 0.722658 1.648564 3.940273
2025-07-06 0.025137 0.058577 0.133036 0.312837 0.743481 1.740966 4.279085
2025-07-13 0.024388 0.058244 0.135502 0.326834 0.797243 1.915894 4.841591
2025-07-20 0.023480 0.057421 0.136735 0.338025 0.845627 2.083930 5.410085
2025-07-27 0.022508 0.056325 0.137195 0.347366 0.890587 2.249090 5.994076
2025-08-03 0.021200 0.054242 0.135032 0.349866 0.918501 2.375053 6.492348
2025-08-10 0.019690 0.051469 0.130855 0.346683 0.931238 2.463695 6.902092